Re: Presidenciais Americanas (2024)
Enviado: 12/10/2024 22:23
Fórum dedicado à discussão sobre os Mercados Financeiros - Bolsas de Valores
http://caldeiraodebolsa.teste.online.xl.pt/
http://caldeiraodebolsa.teste.online.xl.pt/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=91448
MarcoAntonio Escreveu:
Eu não sei que médias estás a ver mas Harris está à frente em ambas as que alegas que está atrás:
RCP: Harris +1.8
Hill: Harris +2.9 (praticamente igual à minha média)
Aliás, a generalidade dos agregadores tem médias próximas das minhas, excepto o RCP que é muito "manhoso":
Por "manhoso", refiro-me à forma como calculam a média e como fazem escolhas aparentemente arbitrárias de prazos, pollsters e polls.
A minha agregação, até ontem:
Entretanto actualizo, estou à espera que as últimas sondagens publicadas estejam disponíveis para download.
previsor Escreveu:Ja nao olhava para as sondagens ha algum tempo e quando comentei tinha por base as sondagens do Marco, mas agora fui verificar as sondagens que estava a acompanhar e o Trump está à frente em duas das cinco médias nacionais. Está à frente na do hill e real clear polling. Nao calculei a média das 5, mas se a harris estiver à frente é por pouco. E a real clear e 270win dao a vitória ao trump em Nevada e Pensilvânia. É uma vantagem muito pequena, mas está à frente.
Assim, ja nao digo que seja provável a harris vencer pelas sondagens. Continuo apenas a achar q historicamente é mais provável o partido republicano ganhar e que se o partido republicano perder é por causa do candidato ser o trump.
PMP69 Escreveu:Antifa members broke into the Detroit Economic Club's AV room and changed the intro song for Donald Trump's speech, earlier this evening.
https://x.com/PaulleyTicks/status/1844640320971210850
Pedro
Antifa members broke into the Detroit Economic Club's AV room and changed the intro song for Donald Trump's speech, earlier this evening.
Wild conspiracies about the weather are spreading online.
Helene, the far-right representative from Georgia tweeted the following: “Yes they can control the weather. It’s ridiculous for anyone to lie and say it can’t be done.”
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfr ... lor-greene
North Korea says it will cut off all roads to the South
North Korea will sever road and railway access to South Korea from Wednesday in a bid to “completely separate” the two countries.
Its military said the North would “permanently shut off and block the southern border” and fortify areas on its side.
The Korean People’s Army (KPA) described the move as “a self-defensive measure for inhibiting war”, claiming it was in response to war exercises in South Korea and the frequent presence of American nuclear assets in the region.
It marks an escalation of hostility at a time when tensions between the Koreas are at their highest point in years.
FBI says it thwarted plot for Election Day terror attack by Afghan national
U.S. officials on Tuesday said they had thwarted a plot to carry out a terror attack in the U.S. on Election Day by an Afghan citizen with ties to ISIS.
The Justice Department unsealed charges against Nasir Ahmad Tawhedi, 27, who now lives in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.
Justice accuses Tawhedi of purchaseing two AK-47 assault rifles, ten magazines, and 500 rounds of ammunition from an FBI source. It says his brother-in-law, a juvenile, acted as an accomplice.
Court filings indicate Tawhedi said he had planned to carry out an attack on Election Day in both seized communications with an ISIS recruiter and in speaking to law enforcement after his arrest. They say he intended to target large gatherings of people and that both he and his brother-in-law expected to die as martyrs in the attack.
“This defendant, motivated by ISIS, allegedly conspired to commit a violent attack, on Election Day, here on our homeland,” FBI Director Christopher Wray said in a statement.
“I am proud of the men and women of the FBI who uncovered and stopped the plot before anyone was harmed. Terrorism is still the FBI’s number one priority, and we will use every resource to protect the American people.”
Americans Still Favor Replacing Electoral College System
58% favor amending Constitution to have popular vote determine the president